Wednesday, January 30, 2008

More than 1m people could lose homes in credit crunch, warns City watchdog

BECKY BARROW
UK Daily Mail
Wednesday January 30, 2008

More than 1million families are in danger of losing their home over the next 18 months, Britain's financial regulator warned yesterday.

It fears that huge mortgages and other debts will prove a lethal cocktail during the global credit crunch.

As banks become more wary, many coming out of a fixed-rate term on their home loan will find they cannot switch to another cheap deal.

Even the smallest increase in bills or repayments will tip some over the edge, according to the Financial Services Authority (FSA).

In the bleak forecast, it said that nearly one-fifth of those who took out a mortgage between April 2005 and September 2007 risk having their property repossessed.

This group of 1million includes those who took out their first home loan, and those who remortgaged from one deal to another.

All these customers, who borrowed during a time when property prices were soaring, have two or more of the FSA's three "high-risk" factors.

The factors are: putting down a deposit of 10 per cent or less on a home; taking a mortgage for longer than 25 years; or borrowing more than 3.5 times the customer's annual salary.

The FSA is particularly worried about 150,000 who have all three high-risk factors. They are the most likely to have their homes repossessed, the regulator said yesterday in its annual Financial Risk Outlook.

This would be double the previous record of 75,540 repossessions in the dark days of 1991, according to the Council of Mortgage Lenders.

The other 890,000 homeowners are at risk of "financial difficulty".

Full article here.

Tuesday, January 29, 2008

First-episode controversy: The vaccine-autism link

The premiere episode of Eli Stone, in which a mother wins a $5.2 million lawsuit charging her son got autism from a vaccine, is stirring controversy before it airs.

The American Academy of Pediatrics is calling on ABC to cancel the show, saying in a statement that it leaves audiences "with the destructive idea that vaccines do cause autism."

ABC Entertainment rejected the request in a statement Monday, reminding viewers that the show is fictional: "The story line plays on topical issues for dramatic effect, but its purpose is to entertain."

Still, the academy, an organization of 60,000 pediatricians, is "alarmed that this program could lead to a tragic decline in immunization rates," said president Renée Jenkins in a letter to Anne Sweeney, president of Disney-ABC Television Group.

The letter — and an article criticizing that letter posted Sunday night and circulating Monday on huffingtonpost.com — is rekindling the emotional debate about vaccines and autism.

Some advocacy groups believe the preservative thimerosal, which contains mercury and once was routinely used in childhood vaccinations, is linked to autism or other brain deficits.

But several medical studies have concluded there is no link. A large study reported in September in the New England Journal of Medicine found no link between babies' exposure to the controversial vaccine preservative and the development of problems in language, behavior or intelligence.

Jenkins says even a fictional show might frighten parents away from immunizations, which routinely save lives. In the letter, she said ABC "will bear responsibility for the needless suffering and potential deaths of children from parents' decisions not to immunize based on the content of the episode."

David Kirby, author of the Huffington blog post and of the book Evidence of Harm: Mercury in Vaccines and the Autism Epidemic: A Medical Controversy, criticizes the letter, saying in his the post that it "borders on near-hysteria over a fictional television entertainment."

"I don't have all the answers," he adds in an interview, "and my job is to keep asking questions. Definitely the jury is very much out" on any autism-vaccine link.

But the jury is not out, counters Paul Offitt, chief of the Division of Infectious Diseases at Children's Hospital of Philadelphia. There have been more than a dozen epidemiological studies and none proves a link, he says. "I only hope that people see this as the fantasy that it is."

ABC says it will refer viewers to the website for the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention at the end of the program.

British PM Wants to Build a "New World Order"

Ann Shibler
JBS
Tuesday January 29, 2008

Gordon Brown wants to shake things up in the UN Security Council in order to create a "new world order" and "global society."

Follow this link to the original source: "Brown's secret talks on 'new world order'"

During a two-day trip to India (with another two days in China), British Prime Minister Gordon Brown revealed his agenda for altering the UN’s power structure. Twice he underscored India’s bid for a permanent place on what he proposes to be an expanded UN Security Council, thereby assuring “India’s rightful place” in a new world order.

More must be done, Brown said, "to make our global institutions more representative." And, "I support changes to the IMF, World Bank, and the G8 that reflect the rise of India and Asia," he continued. Citing India’s explosive economic growth — due in large part to bad U.S. foreign trade policies — he said, "dramatic and seismic shifts in economy, culture and communication are coming to revolutionise the global distribution of wealth, status, power and influence and creating the world anew."

According to the New Zealand Herald, "Brown has begun secret talks with other world leaders on far-reaching reform of the United Nations Security Council as part of a drive to create a ‘new world order’ and ‘global society’." He is proposing that the UN Security Council’s original five countries be augmented with the addition of India, Germany, Japan, Brazil and one or two African nations not yet specified. His proposal, reportedly under intense discussion with leaders from both India and China, would not include veto power for the newly added countries — at least initially.

Under the pretext of promoting peace and stability he also unveiled a plan for the UN to spend £100 million ($257 million) a year on setting up a "rapid reaction force" to stop "failed states" sliding back into chaos after a peace deal has been reached. "There is limited value in military action to end fighting if law and order does not follow," he said when justifying his plan. "So we must do more to ensure rapid reconstruction on the ground once conflicts are over and combine traditional humanitarian aid and peace-keeping with stabilisation, recovery and development."

While that sounds good, it is important to have a clear-eyed view of the UN. Since its inception, the world has not been a peaceful place. Yet, the organization’s founders and its subsequent supporters have maintained that the purpose of the world body is to eliminate war and promote peace. At this it has manifestly failed. Yet people like the British prime minister suggest that the solution is to give the organization more power and control. Decades of experience, however, strongly suggest the opposite course of action: A peaceful world would be one without the UN.

Big Brother tapping our phones and emails 1,000 times a day

NICK MCDERMOTT
UK Daily Mail
Tuesday January 29, 2008

Britain is closer to becoming a Big Brother society after it was revealed the security services and other agencies requested permission to carry out almost 1,000 bugging operations a day.

In total, the intelligence services, plus police forces, local authorities and agencies such as the serious fraud office made 253,500 requests for phone taps, the interception of emails or post in the final nine months of 2006.

Those being bugged range from suspected terrorists to potential illegal flytippers who are being monitored by councils using increasingly sophisticated surveillance to catch them breaking the law.

The report, by the Interception of Communications Commissioner Sir Paul Kennedy - a former appeal court judge - found that more than 1,000 bugging operations had been flawed.

In some instances, innocent people had their phones tapped due to administrative errors.

With Britain already possessing the highest density of CCTV cameras per person anywhere in the world, Labour MP David Winnick, a member of the Commons home affairs committee, said greater legal protection is needed to prevent abuse of surveillance powers.

He said: "Most of these operations are needed and done for good reasons, but the numbers do raise concerns about the safeguards we have put in place to protect people from constant intrusion."

Communications data has provided crucial evidence which has led to the arrest and conviction of kidnappers, rapists and paedophiles, helped prevent murders and gather intelligence on terrorism at home and abroad, the report stated.

But Sir Paul said telephone taps and other 'intercept' material should not be used in court cases, with any benefits of a change in the law 'heavily outweighed' by the disadvantages.

The Conservatives and other groups including civil rights group Liberty have argued that permitting intercept evidence in court would help convict more terrorists, as well as other serious criminals.

But the security services oppose the move because they fear it could expose their spying techniques and capabilities.

In the nine months to the end of 2006, 122 councils sought to obtain private communications in more than 1,600 cases.

Full article here.

Bush: US will 'confront' Iran if necessary

Ynet News
Tuesday January 29, 2008

WASHINGTON - US President George W. Bush warned Iran Monday that the United States will "confront those who threaten our troops" and defend its allies and interests in the Gulf.

In his last State of the Union before a hostile, Democratic-led Congress eager for the end of his term next January, Bush also urged Tehran to suspend its uranium enrichment program, embrace political reforms, and "cease your support for terror abroad."

"But above all, know this: America will confront those who threaten our troops, we will stand by our allies, and we will defend our vital interests in the Persian Gulf," he said.

Bush's ability to rally international support against Iran has been diminished by a US Intelligence report that Tehran abandoned its nuclear weapons program in 2003.

Turning his attention to the Israeli-Palestinian peace process, Bush said, "We are also standing against the forces of extremism in the Holy Land, where we have new cause for hope. Palestinians have elected a president (Mahmoud Abbas) who recognizes that confronting terror is essential to achieving a state where his people can live in dignity and at peace with Israel. Israelis have leaders who recognize that a peaceful, democratic Palestinian state will be a source of lasting security.

"This month in Ramallah and Jerusalem, I assured leaders from both sides that America will do, and I will do, everything we can to help them achieve a peace agreement that defines a Palestinian state by the end of this year," he said. "The time has come for a Holy Land where a democratic Israel and a democratic Palestine live side-by-side in peace."

On Iraq, Bush was in a better position than a year ago, when he implored skeptical Americans to embrace his plan to send thousands more troops to Iraq.

"Our enemies in Iraq have been hit hard," he said. "They have not been defeated, and we can still expect tough fighting ahead."

He announced no new troop reductions despite continuing calls from Democrats for a withdrawal timetable, something polls show most Americans want as well.

Bush's seventh State of the Union speech was a chance to set the tone for his waning months in the White House and try to salvage his frayed legacy before he leaves in January 2009.

Full article here.

Russia Air, Ground Forces to conduct joint drills in April

RIA Novosti
Tuesday January 29, 2008

Units of Russia's Air Force and Ground Forces will conduct a joint exercise in the country's Caspian region in April 2008, a senior military official said on Tuesday.

"The exercise will focus on rehearsing command and control of an Air Force and Air Defense Forces combined-arms formation" in what the military terms the Central Asian strategic sector, said Lt. Gen. Valery Stytsenkov, head of the Air Force Combat Training Directorate.

He said units will also practice interoperability and teamwork with aviation, missile defense, antiaircraft, and electronic warfare assets of the Air Force, the Air Defense Forces, and the Ground Forces.

The general said preparations were under way, exercise grounds were being tested and reconnoitered, and that relevant paperwork was being processed.

He said the exercise will cover an extensive area, including the Kapustin Yar and Ashuluk training grounds, both in south Russia's Astrakhan region near the Caspian Sea.

Stytsenkov said the first such exercise was conducted in 2007 after a long hiatus.

Buchanan: McCain win would mean war with Iran

David Edwards and Muriel Kane
Raw Story
Tuesday January 29, 2008

Says McCain would provoke new wars, 'he's in everybody's face'

"More wars" could prove to be the oddest of all presidential campaign slogans. Especially if it works.

Presidential candidate John McCain shocked observers on Sunday when he told a crowd of supporters, "There's going to be other wars. ... I'm sorry to tell you, there's going to be other wars. We will never surrender but there will be other wars."

MSNBC's Joe Scarborough asked old-line conservative Pat Buchanan about McCain's remarks, saying, "He talked about promising that more wars were coming. ... Is he so desperate to get off the economic issue?"

Pat Buchanan replied that McCain never used the word "promise" but simply said there would be more wars, and that from McCain's point of view, "that is straight talk. ... You get John McCain in the White House, and I do believe we will be at war with Iran."

"That's one of the things that makes me very nervous about him," Buchanan went on. "There's no doubt John McCain is going to be a war president. ... His whole career is wrapped up in the military, national security. He's in Putin's face, he's threatening the Iranians, we're going to be in Iraq a hundred years."

"So when he says more war," Scarborough commented, "he is promising you, if he gets in the White House, we'll not only be fighting this war but starting new wars. Is that what conservative Republicans want?

"I don't say he's starting them," Buchanan answered. "He expects more wars. ... I think he's talking straight, because if you take a look at the McCain foreign policy, he is in everybody's face. Did you see Thad Cochran's comment when he endorsed Romney? He said, look, John McCain is a bellicose, red-faced, angry guy, who constantly explodes."

"Not a happy message," commented Scarborough. "Not Reaganesque."


This video is from MSNBC News Live, broadcast January 28, 2008.

Ban music thieves from web, says U2 manager

TELEGRAPH

Music fans who repeatedly download songs illegally should have their internet connections severed, the manager of U2 has said.

Paul McGuinness, who has managed the best-selling group for 30 years, attacked internet service providers for failing to clamp down on illegal file-sharing.

He said the refusal of internet firms to punish those who download music without paying was "the single biggest failure in the digital music market".

He called on them to adopt a "three strikes and you're out" enforcement policy under which illegal downloaders would have to start paying for music or face having their ISP subscriptions terminated.

"We must shame them into wanting to help us. Their snouts have been at our trough feeding free for too long," Mr McGuinness said at the Midem music industry conference in Cannes.

"For ISPs in general, the days of prevaricating over their responsibilities for helping protect music must end. The ISP lobbyists who say they should not have to 'police the internet' are living in the past - relying on outdated excuses from an earlier technological age."

His call follows a report last week which showed that while worldwide sales of digital music grew by 40 per cent last year, they were still not enough to offset a sharp fall in CD sales.

The International Federation of the Phonographic Industry, which represents record companies across the world, warned that the "crisis" in the music industry would deepen unless ISPs took action against the millions of people who illegally download music.

Many ISPs have been reluctant to police the illegal activities of their customers, preferring to rely on record labels to bring cases against them.

But Mr McGuinness said it was time to challenge the belief that ISPs should not be held accountable for their customers' behaviour.

"If you were publishing a magazine that was advertising stolen cars, processing payments for them and arranging delivery of them you'd expect to get a visit from the police wouldn't you?" he said, in a speech titled The Online Bonanza: Who is Making All The Money and Why Aren't They Sharing It?

"What's the difference? With a laptop, a broadband account, an MP3 player and a smartphone you can now steal all the content, music, video and literary in the world without any money going to the content owners.

"On the other hand, if you get caught stealing a laptop in the computer store or don't pay your broadband bill there are obvious consequences. You get nicked or you get your access cut off."

A survey last year by Quantum Markets in Australia found that of the 2.8 billion people who regularly download illegally, 75 per cent said they did not believe they were hurting the music industry.

When asked why, the vast majority said they did not feel at risk of being punished for downloading songs for free.

Mr McGuinness called on the Government to follow the lead of Nicolas Sarkozy, the French President, and introduce legislation if voluntary talks with ISPs failed to produce a commitment to disconnect file-sharers. A spokesman for the Internet Service Providers' Association said its members preferred self regulation to legislation.

"We do not support abuses of copyright and intellectual property theft. However, ISPs cannot monitor or record the type of information passed over their networks," he said.

"ISPs are no more able to inspect and filter every single packet passing across their network than the Post Office is able to open every envelope."

Questions unfolding throughout New Hampshire

Bev Harris
Black Box Voting.org
Tuesday January 29, 2008

1. David Scanlan - operations guy for the New Hampshire recount. Questions are always referred to Scanlan when you ask about ballot ordering, ballot reconciliation, ballot chain of custody. David Scanlan knew, or should have known, of the fraudulent labels being referred to as "seals." Why did he permit this?

WEBSTER'S DICTIONARY: "Seal": something that secures (as a wax seal on a document); a closure that must be broken to be opened and that thus reveals tampering ; a tight and perfect closure

Why is Scanlan blaming the town clerks for seals that do not adhere properly, when it was his own division that provided the seals?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHL_YMBolRs - Who's responsible for chain of custody breakdown?

Is it true that Scanlan is the one who attempted to halt the Albert Howard recount, trying to call it off for Tuesday and Wednesday this week?

Why is reconciliation (poll book examination, blank ballot counts, ballot order invoices) not being allowed right now? According to Sally Castleman (EDA), town clerks are saying there were required to send poll books to the secretary of state by Jan. 18. The sec. state's office has the documents in hand. Why not allow proper reconciliation of the ballots?

2. Do problems originate from the town clerks or "Hoppy & Butch"?

- Did Nashua Town Clerk Paul Bergeron fail to secure his ballot boxes, giving Ward 9 absentee votes to Hoppy and Butch with the lid open? Or did the lid get opened while in the custody of Hoppy and Butch? Who will take accountability for the chain of custody failure for Ward 9 absentees?

- Did Nashua Town Clerk Paul Bergeron provide a large Ward 5 ballot box to Hoppy and Butch with the top torn open, containing only 333 ballots in the large box -- with a "seal" on the box that did not match anything on the dispatch sheet? Or did something happen to this box while in the custody of Butch and Hoppy?

- Did the Bedford Town Clerk provide an improperly sealed box, sticking ballots in a medical supply box? If so, why, and if not, how did ballots appear for the recount housed in such a container?

3. Why did Secretary of State Bill Gardner fail to take any steps to mitigate the risks with Diebold 1.94w optical scan system used in New Hampshire? Why did he permit a sole source vendor, LHS Associates, to program all the memory cards, knowing that one of the key people for this vendor is a convicted narcotics trafficker? Why did Gardner agree to let ballots be stored outside the vault on the evening of Jan. 17, 2008?

When Election Defense Alliance's Sally Castleman visited town clerks on January 23, she was told by a town clerk that Sec. State Bill Gardner had issued a directive advising them not to allow citizens to photograph the ballots boxes before pickup. Does this directive exist in writing?

4. Why did Karen Ladd, of the sec. state's office, sign for a shipment of ballots from Manchester Ward 11 by herself, while the rest of the shipment was signed for publicly, in front of the building, by David Scanlan and Brian Burford? Why were one-half of Ward 11 ballots delivered six hours after all the other Manchester ballots? Why weren't they received publicly following the same protocols as the other ballots in the same shipment?

Looking for answers, looking for accountability, and looking for people to pitch in getting and sharing e-mailed or faxed written answers from New Hampshire public officials. Just jump right in. Don't call, write, get the answer committed in writing, help us get to the bottom of this. You can see details for yourself in the videos linked below.

LAST QUESTION:

Aren't we all getting sick of lack of consequences for clear breaches in duty to protect and secure the rights of the citizenry?

Videos posted at YouTube on New Hampshire so far:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hHL_YMBolRs
Who's responsible for chain of custody breakdown?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PKQEQ7qHvgM
No ballot vault tonight

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PiiaBqwqkXs
Silvestro the cat

Great Moments In Presidential Speeches Compilation

Youtube
Tuesday January 29, 2008


Howard Highlights Ease Of Recount Fraud

State employees using same red ink as counters
Paul Joseph Watson
Prison Planet
Tuesday, January 29, 2008

Following on from Bev Harris' shocking expose in which she unveiled disturbing chain of custody issues in New Hampshire, Republican presidential candidate Albert Howard has identified another problem that leaves the recount wide open to fraud.

In a letter to the New Hampshire Secretary of State, Howard, who was behind the move for a recount, points out how easy it would be for state employees to change vote tallies.

"The people who are counting the votes are entering the results on individual ward and town tally sheets. They are all using pens with red ink. They then sign and walk the tally sheets to the front of the room where they are handed to a state employee," he writes.

"The state employee says she checks for discrepancies before manually transposing the figures from the local tally sheets to a County-wide tally sheet, using the same red ink used by the counters."

"The state employee then enters the figures from her County-wide tally sheet into her computerized master recount file (an excel spreadsheet). Only then does the state employee make and hand me a copy of the counter’s tally sheet."

Howard is calling for the recount procedure to be revised whereby he or another observer be handed a copy of the tally sheet for each ward and town, before it is handed to the state employee.

Whether New Hampshire officials will be prepared to change the procedure is doubtful. They initially pushed for the recount to be suspended altogether for the first part of this week before reversing themselves after Howard challenged the decision.

They were also publicly shamed after vote fraud expert Bev Harris posted a You Tube video of her confrontations with officials about ballot tampering, lost Diebold memory cards and the awful chain of custody problems which leave the integrity of the recount wide open to abuse.

Monday, January 28, 2008

Bush orders NSA to snoop on US agencies

Ashlee Vance
The Register
Monday January 28, 2008

Not content with spying on other countries, the NSA (National Security Agency) will now turn on the US's own government agencies thanks to a fresh directive from president George Bush.

Under the new guidelines, the NSA and other intelligence agencies can bore into the internet networks of all their peers. The Bush administration pulled off this spy expansion by pointing to an increase in the number of cyber attacks directed against the US, possibly from foreign nations. The Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI) will spearhead the effort around identifying the source of these attacks, while the Department of Homeland Security and Pentagon will concentrate on retaliation.

The Washington Post appears to have broken the news about the new Bush-led joint directive, which remains classified. The paper reported that the directive - National Security Presidential Directive 54/Homeland Security Presidential Directive 23 - was signed on Jan. 8. Earlier reports from the Baltimore Sun documented the NSA's plans to add US spying to its international snooping duties.

The new program will - of course - drains billions of dollars out of US coffers and be part of Bush's 2009 budget.

During Bush's presidency, US citizens have come under an unprecedented spying regime. In addition to upping its focus on suspected criminals, the administration permitted a system for wiretapping the phone calls of Average Joes and Janes. The government is also funding specialized computers from companies such as Cray that can search through enormous databases at incredible speed. Ah, if only Stalin could see us now.

The government points to cyber attacks against the State, Commerce, Defense and Homeland Security departments as the impetus for expanding the NSA's powers. "U.S. officials and cyber-security experts have said Chinese Web sites were involved in several of the biggest attacks back to 2005, including some at the country's nuclear-energy labs and large defense contractors," the Post reported.

Critics of the new directive will point to the NSA's ability to operate in total secrecy as cause for concern.

More troubling, however, may be the Pentagon and Homeland Security's aspirations to hit attackers with counter-strikes.

Proving that a nation rather than a rogue set of attackers are behind a cyber attack will likely be very difficult. In addition, the international community has yet to address the rules of cyber war in any meaningful way.

Chavez calls for anti-US alliance

James Ingham
BBC
Monday January 28, 2008

Venezuela's President Hugo Chavez has called on other Latin American and Caribbean countries to form a military alliance against the United States.

The vehemently anti-US leader says Nicaragua, Bolivia, Cuba and Dominica should create one united force.

Mr Chavez, a long time critic of what he sees as US imperialism, made the comments after a summit of its leaders.

Despite constant US denials, Mr Chavez is convinced it poses a serious threat to South and Central America.

Venezuela's socialist leader has long been a critic of what he sees as US imperialism.

He has recently accused the country of trying to destabilise the region by forging stronger links with Colombia.

Mr Chavez has some key allies in his fight against capitalism, globalisation and the US.

Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua and now the Caribbean island of Dominica are all members of a trade alliance known as the Bolivarian Alternative for the Americas, a group that takes its name from South America's independence leader, Simon Bolivar.

Mr Chavez has urged them to draw up a joint defence policy and create a united military force against US imperialism.

"If the US threatens one of us, it threatens all of us," he said, "we will respond as one."

Kindergarten Student Slapped in Handcuffs, Terrorized Over Acting Out in Class

Kurt Nimmo
Truth News
January 27, 2008

Back in the day, acting up in class resulted in a trip to the principle’s office, a one-way ticket to “detention” — think of Bart Simpson compelled to make amends with chalk and chalkboard — or a note sent home with the offender.

Now? It results in handcuffs and a trip to a mental ward: “Police and school officials are investigating a mother’s allegations that her 5-year-old son was handcuffed and taken to a hospital for a psychiatric evaluation after throwing a temper tantrum in his Queens kindergarten,” reports the Associated Press. “Jasmina Vasquez tells the Daily News her son, Dennis Rivera, was ’scared to death’ by the Jan. 17 incident at PS 81.”

Of course he was scared to death — and that’s the point: to teach children that if they act out in any unapproved way they will find themselves enmeshed in the claws of the state. It’s the sort of object lesson to be used later in life. It helps to do these sort of things during the formative years.

Well, at least there is a somewhat upbeat end to this story of government coercion and terrorism — in response, Vasquez has enrolled her son in a private school, where he will be safe, for now, that is until the government begins attacking private schools like they do in Germany.

House prices 'to fall 5.5% then rise again', as top economist warns of recession

UK Daily Mail
Monday January 28, 2008

A top economist warned today that the UK risked falling into a full-blown recession as it entered its weakest period of growth for more than 15 years.

Roger Bootle, adviser to accountants Deloitte, said he expected the UK economy to grow by 2 per cent this year and 1.7 per cent the next, the lowest two-year growth rate since 1992.

But he said there was a real risk that plummeting house prices amid the credit crunch, coupled with sluggish job growth during the prolonged slowdown, could send the country into recession.

His warning came as the Centre for Economics and Business research predicted Britain will this year experience its first annual fall in house prices since 1995, according to a new study.

The average is forecast to fall £11,000 to £188,000, but after this 5.5 per cent fall, it expects prices to begin climbing again in 2009.

Both predictions will put heavy pressure on Bank of England boss Mervyn King to slash interest rates.

Mr Bootle claimed monetary chiefs should be prepared to reduce them by 1.5 per cent to 4 per cent within two years to try and avert the downturn.

Comparing the looming slowdown to the last one between 2004/05, he said this one would be a "fundamental period of adjustment" rather than a "pause for breath" before quick recovery seen three years ago.

Mr Bootle, formerly group chief economist at banking giant HSBC and now managing director of Capital Economics, said: "The increasing vulnerability of the housing market is at the heart of the downturn.

"Admittedly, the UK economy escaped a major economic downturn in 2004/05, when the housing market experienced its first ever 'soft' landing.

"But the 'big one' might now finally be upon us."

Mr Bootle was writing in the Deloitte Economic Review.

Meanwhile, the CEBR identified three factors driving price falls. The first is the credit crunch which "will continue to restrict mortgage approvals".

The second is that homes are over-valued because prices have risen ahead of what buyers can afford to pay.

"Third, households are grappling with squeezed personal finances, following last year's interest rate rises, high inflation, tax increases and relatively weak wage inflation."

But the scale of the dip in prices will be limited due to a housing shortage, the likelihood that interest rates will be cut several times this year and more immigration.

US recession will dwarf dotcom crash

Edmund Conway
London Telegraph
Monday January 28, 2008

The recession facing the United States is of a scale that dwarfs the dotcom slump. The slowdown will cause a damaging regulation backlash as governments attempt to compensate for the financial pain facing families. Britain faces a similar plight, though it may avoid as deep a slowdown as the US.

The views of Stephen Roach, one of the world's leading economists, now heading the Asian wing of Morgan Stanley, would have seemed outrageous at last year's World Economic Forum. It is a sign of the times that they are now close to the consensus. This year's event has been dominated by discussions of the stock market slump on both sides of the Atlantic, the Federal Reserve's emergency interest rate cut and the SocGen fraud disaster.

But underlying everything has been the silent truth that the US is facing a very possible recession, and is fast having to adapt to a far less enjoyable economic climate.

"We have, as relatively sophisticated, well-developed economies, gotten hooked on credit as never before," said Roach, speaking about the UK and US. "If we had been running our economies the old-fashioned way, for example, where saving and consumption were funded by income, maybe we wouldn't be in this mess we are in now.

"Maybe the growth we have been realising has been something of an illusion predicated on levering our assets, and unfortunately we didn't fully understand the risks we were taking on. The US may be in recession right now. The UK is not?. The US has more vulnerablility to a post-bubble shake-out today than it did seven years ago, and [more] than in the UK."

The reason this crunch will be so much worse, he said, is that the chunk of the economy which is shuddering to a halt - homebuilding and housing dependent consumption - is six times bigger than the spending on IT, which triggered the last one.

"The magnitude dwarfs anything we saw seven years ago."

The endgame, he said, is an "average recession" meaning just over a year's worth of economic shrinking - three times the depth of the recession seven years ago.

Full article here.

'Straight talk' from Senator McCain: More wars to come

Nick Langewis
Raw Story
Monday January 28, 2008

Speaking in Polk City, Florida, U.S. Senator and 2008 presidential candidate John McCain (R-AZ) pledges expansion of access to health care for soldiers injured physically and psychologically not only in the current war, but in wars he says are sure to follow.

This video is from CNN Newsroom, broadcast January 27, 2008.


History Channel Admits Anthrax Attacks an Inside Job

YouTube
January 24, 2008


New Hampshire Primary: Sham Chain of Custody

YOUTUBE
They decided NOT to put the ballots in the vault and the "Seal" does NOT seal the box. Smoke and mirrors in New Hampshire recount.


The Homeland Security Campus: Repress U

Michael Gould-Wartofsky
Global Research
January 25, 2008

From Harvard to UCLA, the ivory tower is fast becoming the latest watchtower in Fortress America. The terror warriors, having turned their attention to "violent radicalization and homegrown terrorism prevention"–as it was recently dubbed in a House of Representatives bill of the same name–have set out to reconquer that traditional hotbed of radicalization, the university.

Building a homeland security campus and bringing the university to heel is a seven-step mission:

1. Target dissidents. As the warfare state has triggered dissent, the campus has attracted increasing scrutiny–with student protesters in the cross hairs. The government’s number-one target? Peace and justice organizations.

From 2003 to 2007 an unknown number of them made it into the Pentagon’s Threat and Local Observation Notice system (TALON), a secretive domestic spying program ostensibly designed to track direct "potential terrorist threats" to the Defense Department itself. In 2006 the ACLU uncovered, via Freedom of Information Act requests, at least 186 specific TALON reports on "anti-military protests" in the United States–some listed as "credible threats"–from student groups at the University of California, Santa Cruz; State University of New York, Albany; Georgia State University; and New Mexico State University, among other campuses.

At more than a dozen universities and colleges, police officers now double as full-time FBI agents, and according to the Campus Law Enforcement Journal, they serve on many of the nation’s 100 Joint Terrorism Task Forces. These dual-purpose officer-agents have knocked on student activists’ doors from North Carolina State to the University of Colorado and, in one case, interrogated an Iraqi-born professor at the University of Massachusetts about his antiwar views.

FBI agents, or their campus stand-ins, don’t have to do all the work. Administrators often do it for them, setting up "free-speech zones," which actually constrain speech, and punishing those who step outside them. Protests were typically forced into "free-assembly areas" at the University of Central Florida and Clemson University, while students at Hampton and Pace universities faced expulsion for handing out antiwar fliers, aka "unauthorized materials."

2. Lock and load. Many campus police departments are morphing into heavily armed garrisons, equipped with a wide array of weaponry, from Taser stun guns and pepper guns to shotguns and semiautomatic rifles. Lock-and-load policies that began in the 1990s under the rubric of the "war on crime" only escalated with the President’s "war on terror." Each school shooting–most recently the massacre at Virginia Tech–adds fuel to the armament flames.

Two-thirds of universities arm their police, according to the Justice Department. Many of the guns being purchased were previously in the province of military units and SWAT teams: for instance, AR-15 rifles (similar to M-16s) are in the arsenals of the University of Texas campus police. Last April City University of New York bought dozens of semiautomatic handguns. Some states, like Nevada, are even considering plans to allow university staff to pack heat in a "special reserve officer corps."

Most of the force used on campuses these days, though, comes in less lethal form, such as the rubber bullets and pepper pellets increasingly used to contain student demonstrations. Then there is the ubiquitous Taser, the electroshock weapon recently ruled a "form of torture" by the United Nations. A Taser was used by UCLA police in November 2006 to deliver shock after shock to an Iranian-American student for failing to produce his ID at the Powell Library. A University of Florida student was Tased last September after asking pointed questions of Senator John Kerry at a public forum, his plea "Don’t Tase me, bro!" becoming the stuff of pop folklore.

3. Keep an eye (or hundreds of them) focused on campus. Surveillance has become a boom industry nationally–one that now reaches deep into the heart of campuses. In fact, universities have witnessed explosive growth since 2001 in the electronic surveillance of students, faculty and campus workers. On ever more campuses, closed-circuit security cameras can track people’s every move, often from hidden or undisclosed locations, sometimes even into classrooms.

The International Association of Campus Law Enforcement Administrators reports that surveillance cameras have found their way onto at least half of all colleges, their numbers on any given campus doubling, tripling or, in a few cases, rising tenfold since September 11, 2001. Such cameras have proliferated by the hundreds on private campuses, in particular. The University of Pennsylvania, for instance, has more than 400 watching over it, while Harvard and Brown have about 200 each.

Often it can be tricky to find out where the cameras are and just what they’re meant to be viewing. The University of Texas battled student journalists over disclosure and ultimately kept its cameras hidden. Sometimes, though, the cameras’ purpose seems obvious. Take the case of Hussein Hussein, a professor in the department of animal biotechnology at the University of Nevada, Reno. In January 2005 the widely respected professor found a hidden camera redirected to monitor his office.

4. Mine student records. Student records have in recent years been opened up to all manner of data mining for purposes of investigation, recruitment or just all-purpose tracking. From 2001 to 2006, in an operation code-named Project Strike Back, the Education Department teamed up with the FBI to scour the records of the 14 million students who applied for federal financial aid each year. The objective? "To identify potential people of interest," explained an FBI spokesperson cryptically, especially those linked to "potential terrorist activity."

Strike Back was quietly discontinued in June 2006, days after students at Northwestern University blew its cover. But just one month later, the Education Department’s Commission on the Future of Higher Education, in a much-criticized preliminary report, recommended the creation of a federal "unit records" database that would track the activities and studies of college students nationwide. The department’s Institute of Education Sciences has developed a prototype for such a national database.

It’s not a secret that the Pentagon, for its part, hopes to turn campuses into recruitment centers for its overstretched, overstressed forces. The Defense Department has built its own database for just this purpose. Known as Joint Advertising Market Research and Studies, this program tracks 30 million young people, ages 16 to 25. According to a Pentagon spokesperson, the department has partnered with private marketing and data-mining firms, which in turn sell the government reams of information on students and other potential recruits.

5. Track foreign-born students; keep the undocumented out. Under the auspices of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) has been keeping close tabs on foreign students and their dependents through the Student and Exchange Visitor Information System (SEVIS). As of October 2007, ICE reported that it was actively following 713,000 internationals on campuses, while keeping more than 4.7 million names in the database.

The database aims to amass and record information on foreign students throughout their stay inside the United States. SEVIS requires thick files on the students from the sponsoring schools, constantly updated with all academic, biographical and employment records–all of which will be shared with other government agencies. If students fall out of "status" at school–or if the database thinks they have–the Compliance Enforcement Unit of ICE goes into action.

ICE, of course, has done its part to keep the homeland security campus purified of those not born in the homeland. The American Immigration Law Foundation estimates that only one in twenty undocumented immigrants who graduate high school goes on to enroll in a college–many don’t go because they cannot afford the tuition but also because they have good reason to be afraid: ICE has deported a number of those who did make it to college, some before they could graduate.

6. Take over the curriculum, the classroom and the laboratory. Needless to say, not every student is considered a homeland security threat. Quite the opposite. Many students and faculty members are seen as potential assets. To exploit these assets, DHS has launched its own curriculum under its Office of University Programs (OUP), intended, it says, to "foster a homeland security culture within the academic community."

The record so far is impressive: DHS has doled out 439 federal fellowships and scholarships since 2003, providing full tuition to students who fit "within the homeland security research enterprise." Two hundred twenty-seven schools now offer degree or certificate programs in "homeland security," a curriculum that encompasses more than 1,800 courses. Along with OUP, some of the key players in creating the homeland security classroom are the US Northern Command and the Aerospace Defense Command, co-founders of the Homeland Security and Defense Education Consortium.

OUP has also partnered with researchers and laboratories to "align scientific results with homeland security priorities." In fiscal year 2008 alone, $4.9 billion in federal funding will go to homeland-security-related research. Grants correspond to sixteen research topics selected by DHS, based on presidential directives, legislation and a smattering of scientific advice.

But wait, there’s more: DHS has founded and funded six of its very own "Centers of Excellence," research facilities that span dozens of universities from coast to coast. The latest is a Center of Excellence for the Study of Violent Radicalization and Homegrown Terrorism, the funding for which cleared the House in October. The center is mandated to assist a national commission in combating those "adopting or promoting an extremist belief system…to advance political, religious or social change."

7. Privatize, privatize, privatize. Of course, homeland security is not just a department, nor is it simply a new network of surveillance and data mining–it’s big business. (According to USA Today, global homeland-security-style spending had already reached $59 billion a year in 2006, a sixfold increase over 2000.) Not surprisingly, then, universities have in recent years established unprecedented private-sector partnerships with the corporations that have the most to gain from their research. DHS’s on-campus National Consortium for the Study of Terrorism and Responses to Terror (START), for instance, features Lockheed Martin on its advisory board. The Center for Food Protection and Defense relies on an industry working group that includes Wal-Mart and McDonald’s offering "guidance and direction," according to its chair.

While vast sums of money are flowing in from corporate sponsors, huge payments are also flowing out to "strategic contracts" with private contractors, as universities permanently outsource security operations to big corporations like Securitas and AlliedBarton. Little of this money actually goes to those guarding the properties, who are often among the most underpaid workers in the universities. Instead, it fills the corporate coffers of those with little accountability for conditions on campus.

Meanwhile, some universities have developed intimate relationships with private-security outfits like the notorious Blackwater. Last May, for example, the University of Illinois and its police training institute cut a deal with the firm to share its facilities and training programs with Blackwater operatives. Local journalists later revealed that the director of the campus program at the time was on the Blackwater payroll. In the age of hired education, such collaboration is apparently par for the course.

Following these seven steps over the past six years, the homeland security state and its constituents have come a long way in their drive to remake the American campus in the image of a compound on lockdown. Somewhere inside the growing homeland security state that is our country, the next seven steps in the process are undoubtedly already being planned.

Still, the rise of Repress U is not inevitable. The new homeland security campus has proven itself unable to shut out public scrutiny or stamp out resistance to its latest Orwellian advances. Sometimes such opposition even yields a free-speech zone dismantled, or the Pentagon’s TALON declawed, or a Project Strike Back struck down. A rising tide of student protest, led by groups like the new Students for a Democratic Society, has won free-speech victories and reined in repression from Pace and Hampton, where the university dropped its threat of expulsion, to UCLA, where Tasers will no longer be wielded against passive resisters.

Yet if the tightening grip of the homeland security complex isn’t loosened, the latest towers of higher education will be built not of ivory but of Kevlar for the over-armored, over-armed campuses of America.