Thursday, October 04, 2007

Dollar Declines Against Euro After Drop in U.S. Factory Orders

By Bo Nielsen and Gavin Finch

Oct. 4 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar fell against the euro and yen for the first time in four days as a drop in U.S. factory orders suggested the housing recession is slowing the economy.

The U.S. currency rose earlier against the euro after the European Central Bank held its benchmark lending rate at 4 percent and ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet signaled policy makers aren't likely to raise borrowing costs soon.

``The U.S. economy is really not out of the woods yet,'' said Alan Kabbani, senior currency trader in Charlotte, North Carolina, at Wachovia Corp. ``The factory number reminded people of this.''

The dollar decreased 0.28 percent to $1.4129 per euro at 12:06 p.m. in New York. It touched the all-time low of $1.4283 on Oct. 1. The U.S. currency fell 0.12 percent to 116.61 yen. The euro rose 0.15 percent to 164.75 yen.

Orders placed with U.S. factories fell a more-than-expected 3.3 percent in August after a revised 3.4 percent increase in July that was smaller than previously estimated, the Commerce Department said today in Washington.

The number of workers filing first-time claims for unemployment benefits rose last week, the Labor Department reported today. Applications increased to 317,000, higher than forecast, in the week that ended Sept. 29.

The Labor Department will probably say tomorrow that U.S. employers added 100,000 jobs last month after a loss of 4,000 jobs in August, according to the median forecast of 83 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

Interest-rate futures show traders bet there's a 68 percent chance of a Federal Reserve rate cut at the Oct. 31 meeting. The likelihood was 28 percent a month ago.

ECB's Decision

The Frankfurt-based ECB held its key rate steady on concern the U.S. housing slump and a rising euro may curb the expansion of the euro zone's $10.4 trillion economy. Only one of 55 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News had forecast an increase to 4.25 percent.

``It remains necessary to gather additional information and examine new data before drawing further conclusions for monetary policy,'' Trichet said at a news conference in Vienna today.

Trichet said that while the bank's outlook on growth ``has not been modified,'' he said ``downside risks'' had increased. He expected inflation rate to remain ``significantly'' above 2 percent this year and in early 2008 before moderating.

``The ECB's hands are tied,'' said Brian Dolan, chief currency strategist at FOREX.com, a unit of online currency trading firm Gain Capital in Bedminster, New Jersey. Policy makers ``see a risk of inflation, but the credit market conditions remain tight, and the economic outlook has deteriorated.''

Rate Outlook

The implied yield on December's Euribor futures contract fell 0.03 percentage point to 4.59 percent. The contract settles to the three-month interbank offered rate for the euro, which has averaged about 0.16 percentage point above the ECB's key rate since 1999.

Trichet urged politicians to show ``verbal discipline'' when discussing the euro's exchange rate. Italian Prime Minister Romano Prodi said yesterday in Rome that he and German Chancellor Angela Merkel spoke briefly and expressed concern over the 13-nation currency's strength.

The euro's appreciation is clearly ``an issue for Europe right now,'' Fed Governor Frederic Mishkin said today after presenting a research paper in Frankfurt.

The comments have stoked expectations that policy makers of the ECB, the 27-member European Union and the Group of Seven nations will discuss currencies at meetings in Washington that begin Oct. 19.

``The ECB has never intervened unilaterally,'' said Naomi Fink, senior currency strategist in New York at BNP Paribas SA. ``That means the greatest likelihood will be multilateral intervention.''

The Bank of England today left its benchmark interest rate at 5.75 percent, a six-year high. The pound rose 0.3 percent versus the dollar.

Bank of England Keeps Interest Rate at Six-Year High

Oct. 4 (Bloomberg) -- The Bank of England kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at a six-year high as policy makers assessed the effect on the economy of higher credit costs and a run on Northern Rock Plc.

The Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mervyn King, left the bank rate at 5.75 percent, matching the forecast of all except one of the 60 economists surveyed by Bloomberg News.

The decision follows panic among depositors at Northern Rock after money-market rates jumped, leaving the bank unable to fund its business. The run on the lender, the first in more than a century, has clouded the outlook for economic growth and inflation, and sparked criticism of the way the central bank handled the seizing-up of credit over the past two months.

``The economy is under the pressure of the credit crunch,'' Charles Goodhart, a former Bank of England policy maker, said in an interview. ``It's very difficult to see what exactly is happening in the economy. The MPC rather likes to have a full inflation report and assess the situation in greater depth. I would expect a cut at the November meeting.''

The Bank of England's benchmark rate is the highest among the Group of Seven industrialized nations. The Fed reduced its rate by half a percentage point to 4.75 percent on Sept. 18, saying tougher credit standards, caused by the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market, may hurt growth. The European Central Bank kept its key rate at 4 percent today.

Pound Rises

The pound rose as much as 0.3 percent to $2.0365 after the decision and traded at $2.0351 as of 12:45 p.m. in London. The currency reached a 26-year high of $2.0654 on July 24.

Today's decision may precede a U.K. general election by little more than a month. Prime Minister Gordon Brown is considering whether to schedule a vote by the end of the year to take advantage of his lead in opinion polls.

U.K. house prices, which have surged 18 percent in the past two years, fell for the first time in nine months in September, a report from HBOS Plc showed today.

Northern Rock, the U.K.'s fifth-biggest mortgage lender, last month asked the central bank for a loan to help it weather the credit slump, and only a government guarantee ended the subsequent run on deposits on Sept. 17. Former policy maker Richard Lambert, who is now the country's chief business lobbyist, said Sept. 26 that ``outside movies, a run on a bank is something that happens in a banana republic.''

King's Policy

King drew criticism for not doing enough to help the banking industry, before he abandoned his opposition on Sept. 19 and loosened the central bank's lending standards. The Bank of England hasn't reported any further requests for help. It allocated 25 percent of bids from banks in a one-week loan sale of 27.6 billion pounds ($56 billion) after today's decision.

U.K. policy makers said in minutes of the Sept. 6 decision that inflation risks had ``probably receded,'' even though the impact of financial market turmoil on the economy was ``still very unclear.''

Shortly before the bank's decision, Goodhart said he had a ``sneaking suspicion'' that policy makers were tilted toward cutting rates today, though they would have difficulty explaining the move unless they could show inflation would remain low.

`Tighter' Conditions

``The one point nobody has taken into consideration is that the market has effectively tightened monetary policy on everybody by half a percent or more,'' Goodhart said. ``If the bank were to lower interest rates by a quarter actually more people could take out mortgages and companies trying to raise funds would find that conditions in financial markets were still somewhat tighter than they were five or six weeks ago.''

``My worry is that it may presage that the inflation figures coming in will be rather worse than they expected,'' Goodhart said.

Inflation slowed to 1.8 percent in August, the lowest level since March 2006 and below the central bank's 2 percent target for a second month. The bank will publish minutes of today's decision on Oct. 17.

``Not only do we not know how much of an impact the crunch is having on the economy, we also don't know how much higher interest rates have been passed through,'' said George Buckley, chief U.K. economist at Deutsche Bank AG, after the decision.

A survey of U.K. banks shows they are poised to reduce the supply of credit to companies ``significantly,'' the Bank of England said Sept. 26. Borrowing costs have also risen after five rate increases by the central bank over the past year.

Money Markets

Money-market rates have eased over the past week. The three-month London interbank offered rate, or Libor, for pounds fell to 6.24 percent yesterday, the lowest since markets seized up on Aug. 9. The rate touched an eight-year high of 6.9 percent on Sept. 11.

The U.K. economy grew 3.1 percent in the second quarter from a year earlier, faster than previously estimated, a government report showed on Sept. 26. The economy will expand 2.9 percent in 2007, the most in three years, the International Monetary Fund predicted July 25.

The bank may still face inflation pressures from the pace of economic growth. Factory-gate prices rose the most since at least 1999 in September, the Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc said Oct. 1. Their service industries survey yesterday showed prices increased the most in four months.

Retail Recovery

Tesco Plc, the country's biggest retailer, said Oct. 2 first-half profit rose 19 percent and sales strengthened ``significantly'' in August after record rainfall in June and July. Philip Green, the billionaire owner of U.K. department- store chain Bhs Group Ltd., said yesterday sales of clothing recovered in the past six weeks.

Thirty out of 46 economists predict at least a quarter point reduction in the benchmark rate by the bank's decision in March. Some are speculating the Bank of England may have to reduce rates as early as next month.

``The housing market is slowing, and consumer spending is likely to weaken,'' Martin Ellis, chief economist at HBOS Plc, said in an interview. ``There will be a cut before long, possibly in November.''

Business calls for euro action

Tony Barber and Ralph Atkins
Financial Times
Thursday October 04, 2007

European big business on Wednesday joined the growing number of eurozone politicians demanding rapid action to halt the euro’s rise against the dollar and other currencies.

Having crossed $1.40 against the US dollar and appreciated against the Chinese renminbi and Japanese yen, “the euro exchange rate has attained a pain threshold for European companies”, said Ernest-Antoine Seillière, president of BusinessEurope, the pan-European employers’ association.

Eurozone leaders want to make exchange rates a central theme of discussion when finance ministers and central bankers of the Group of Seven countries meet in Washington on October 20-22. They hope to persuade Canada, Japan, the UK and US that the global credit crisis has amplified the risks of disorderly exchange rate movements.

Mr Seillière’s warning, contained in a letter to Jean-Claude Juncker, chairman of the eurozone finance ministers’ group, pointed to mounting concern about the euro’s rise among European business leaders, whose reaction had until now been relatively muted.

The European Central Bank meets on Thursday in Vienna to set interest rates. Jean-Claude Trichet, ECB president, has moved closer towards intervention in recent days by stressing Washington’s interest in a strong dollar.

Romano Prodi, Italy’s premier, said he had spoken by telephone on Monday with Angela Merkel, Germany’s chancellor, about the euro’s strength. “There is concern that US policy is very attentive exclusively towards domestic interests,” Mr Prodi said.

But the impact of the euro’s strength on exports is described as relatively small in an analysis prepared for a eurozone finance ministers’ meeting in Luxembourg next Monday.

According to the document, seen by the Financial Times, the euro’s appreciation from 2001 to 2006 reduced eurozone exports by only 0.8 percentage points a year, an effect far outstripped by buoyant world demand, which added 6 percentage points to annual eurozone export growth.

Eurozone countries where domestic rigidities have driven down cost competitiveness also have the weakest export performance.

“Other factors – including in particular foreign demand – play a more important role,” the analysis says.

The ECB is expected to leave its main interest rate unchanged at 4 per cent. Although inflation is rising, the stronger euro and higher financing costs after the global credit squeeze have removed the need for more rate increases.

The eurozone’s vulnerability to the credit squeeze was highlighted on Wednesday by service sector purchasing managers’ indices showing a fall in growth in September, led by the financial services sector.

Similar indices for eurozone manufacturing, released on Monday, suggested the stronger euro was already having an impact, with new export orders growing at the slowest pace since August 2005.

Merger opens U.S. defense to China

Bill Gertz
Washington Times
Thursday October 04, 2007

A Chinese company with ties to Beijing's military and past links to Saddam Hussein's army in Iraq and the Taliban will gain access to U.S. defense-network technology under a proposed merger, Pentagon officials say.

Huawei Technologies will merge with the Massachusetts-based 3Com network-equipment manufacturer in a deal announced last week. Huawei has been linked to the U.N. oil-for-food scandal, which involved millions of dollars in payoffs to Saddam's regime during a time of U.N. sanctions.

The announced merger follows a July computer attack on the Pentagon that U.S. intelligence officials say involved Chinese military hackers. The hackers were detected breaking into Pentagon computers, including an e-mail system close to Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates.

"Huawei is up to its eyeballs with the Chinese military," said a defense official concerned about the deal. Huawei was founded in 1988 by a Chinese military officer and got its start building military communications networks.

A second official said the deal comes as the Pentagon has mounted an aggressive effort to thwart large numbers of computer intrusions from Chinese hackers and spies.

"And now we are proposing to sell the PLA a key to our front door. This is a very dangerous trend," the official said, referring to the People's Liberation Army, as the Chinese military is called.

3Com announced Friday the $2.2 billion merger with Bain Capital Partners LLC and noted in a statement that Huawei Technologies will acquire a minority interest and "become a commercial and strategic partner of 3Com."

Rep. Duncan Hunter, California Republican and ranking member of the House Armed Services Committee, said he is worried the deal will lead to the loss of sensitive technology to China.

"Specifically, I have some concerns surrounding the minority position of Huawei Technologies and what control the Chinese company might have over America's sensitive information," Mr. Hunter said. "In addition to encouraging the Pentagon to review how this deal may affect any of its classified contracts, I would encourage the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States to conduct a thorough review."

A Pentagon spokesman said he is not aware that anyone in the Defense Department has asked Treasury's Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States to investigate the merger. A Treasury spokesman had no comment.

3Com, through a subsidiary, provides the Pentagon and the Army with intrusion-detection equipment, and the merger potentially will provide Huawei access to strategic computer-network vulnerabilities, said defense officials speaking on the condition of anonymity.

Spokesmen for 3Com did not return phone calls or e-mails seeking comment. A spokesman for Bain had no immediate comment. A Huawei spokesman could not be reached for comment.

Defense officials said Huawei's past is the main cause for concern. Huawei technicians were involved in violating U.N. sanctions against Iraq in the early 2000s by illegally providing a fiber-optic network in Iraq that linked the Iraqi military's air-defense network.

The CIA-led Iraq Survey Group stated in its final report that Huawei and two other Chinese firms "illicitly provided transmission switches" for fiber-optic communications in Iraq from 1999 to 2002.

U.S. and British warplanes bombed the Chinese-made fiber-optic network in August 2001 after it was found to be part of Iraqi air-defense missile sites that were firing at U.S. and allied aircraft enforcing a no-fly zone.

Huawei also was involved in building a telephone-switching system in Kabul, Afghanistan, for the ruling Taliban militia prior to its ouster in 2001, according to U.S. intelligence officials.

The defense officials said it is unlikely that the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States would block the deal because 3Com is being advised on the merger by Goldman Sachs Group Inc., whose former chairman is Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr. White House Chief of Staff Joshua B. Bolten also is a former Goldman Sachs executive.

Gary Milhollin, an arms-proliferation specialist with the Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control, said Huawei was founded by a Chinese military officer and got its start with U.S. technology exports.

"In the past, Huawei has shown it's willing to help America's enemies after importing U.S. technology," he said. "And it has done so in defiance of U.N. regulations. So before we make more U.S. high technology available to Huawei, we should make sure it has changed its ways."

Only Two Dozen "Al-Qaeda" Left, Says Ex-CIA Man

But threat of terror network's deadly reach continues to be hyped by global arms contractors, security corporations, media and government

Paul Joseph Watson
Prison Planet
Thursday, October 4, 2007

Former CIA case officer Marc Sageman says the membership of "Al-Qaeda" has dwindled to a paltry two dozen people, and its leadership is completely cut off from the mostly "petty criminals and gang members" that are now the target of the war on terror.

Such a sweeping denouncement of the strength of Al-Qaeda is at odds with the constantly hyped threat of the terror network by media outlets and government.

"Dr Sageman said al-Qaeda's leaders had been all but cut off from the current crop of jihadists and comprised no more than two dozen people. The threat was now coming from home-grown young men in their early 20s who recruited mostly on the internet," reports news.com.au.

"Sageman said there were "potentially thousands" of these "new" terrorists, although they were incapable of replacing older terror networks because of their self-organising, independent structure. Many were petty criminals or gang members who eventually drifted back to their Islamic roots."

Sageman's conclusions also wildly contradict the findings of a recent military intelligence report, which asserted that Al-Qaeda had restored itself to pre-9/11 strength.

The ex-CIA man's words are likely to be swept under the carpet by global arms contractors and security companies, who have collectively made well over a trillion dollars by propping up the specter of Al-Qaeda's deadly threat.

"When the dust finally settles on the 'War on Terror', the next generation will look back on the politicians, media and security corporations mega-hyping of the Al Qaeda threat, and view it all in a similar way to how we now look back on those who claimed their nations were infected with witches in the 1600s and 1700s. That is, with disbelief and disdain," comments blogger Darryl Mason.

"Future generations will also probably wonder why leaders like President Bush, former British prime minister Tony Blair and soon-to-be-former Australian prime minister John Howard expounded so much energy, money and fear-mongering in hyping the "worldwide" threat posed by Al Qaeda."

Warning as RAF lose practice bomb

PA
Thursday October 04, 2007

A practice bomb has accidentally been dropped from a fighter plane during a training exercise, the RAF has said.

The 14kg bomb was lost from a Tornado GR4 aircraft during a routine flight from its base at Lossiemouth in Moray.

The RAF said they do not know if the device survived the fall. They have yet to locate the bomb and have warned the public against touching it.

A spokesman for RAF Lossiemouth said: "Even if the practice bomb survived the fall, we would stress it is highly unlikely to represent a significant danger to the public.

"However, anyone who finds what they believe to be the bomb, which is approximately two and a half feet long and dark blue in colour, is advised not to touch the device but to inform the police of its location.

"An investigation has been convened to determine the cause of the release."

The bomb fell some time during the 90 minute flight, around half of which was over the sea.

The overland journey included a low-level route through Northumberland and north east Scotland.

The spokesman added: "Whilst incidents like this are extremely rare, we pride ourselves in being open and honest with the community and that is why we have issued this statement proactively."

Secret U.S. Endorsement of Severe Interrogations

SCOTT SHANE, DAVID JOHNSTON and JAMES RISEN
NY Times
Thursday October 04, 2007

When the Justice Department publicly declared torture “abhorrent” in a legal opinion in December 2004, the Bush administration appeared to have abandoned its assertion of nearly unlimited presidential authority to order brutal interrogations.

But soon after Alberto R. Gonzales’s arrival as attorney general in February 2005, the Justice Department issued another opinion, this one in secret. It was a very different document, according to officials briefed on it, an expansive endorsement of the harshest interrogation techniques ever used by the Central Intelligence Agency.

The new opinion, the officials said, for the first time provided explicit authorization to barrage terror suspects with a combination of painful physical and psychological tactics, including head-slapping, simulated drowning and frigid temperatures.

Mr. Gonzales approved the legal memorandum on “combined effects” over the objections of James B. Comey, the deputy attorney general, who was leaving his job after bruising clashes with the White House. Disagreeing with what he viewed as the opinion’s overreaching legal reasoning, Mr. Comey told colleagues at the department that they would all be “ashamed” when the world eventually learned of it.

Later that year, as Congress moved toward outlawing “cruel, inhuman and degrading” treatment, the Justice Department issued another secret opinion, one most lawmakers did not know existed, current and former officials said. The Justice Department document declared that none of the C.I.A. interrogation methods violated that standard.

The classified opinions, never previously disclosed, are a hidden legacy of President Bush’s second term and Mr. Gonzales’s tenure at the Justice Department, where he moved quickly to align it with the White House after a 2004 rebellion by staff lawyers that had thrown policies on surveillance and detention into turmoil.

Congress and the Supreme Court have intervened repeatedly in the last two years to impose limits on interrogations, and the administration has responded as a policy matter by dropping the most extreme techniques. But the 2005 Justice Department opinions remain in effect, and their legal conclusions have been confirmed by several more recent memorandums, officials said. They show how the White House has succeeded in preserving the broadest possible legal latitude for harsh tactics.

A White House spokesman, Tony Fratto, said Wednesday that he would not comment on any legal opinion related to interrogations. Mr. Fratto added, “We have gone to great lengths, including statutory efforts and the recent executive order, to make it clear that the intelligence community and our practices fall within U.S. law” and international agreements.

More than two dozen current and former officials involved in counterterrorism were interviewed over the past three months about the opinions and the deliberations on interrogation policy. Most officials would speak only on the condition of anonymity because of the secrecy of the documents and the C.I.A. detention operations they govern.

When he stepped down as attorney general in September after widespread criticism of the firing of federal prosecutors and withering attacks on his credibility, Mr. Gonzales talked proudly in a farewell speech of how his department was “a place of inspiration” that had balanced the necessary flexibility to conduct the war on terrorism with the need to uphold the law.

Associates at the Justice Department said Mr. Gonzales seldom resisted pressure from Vice President Dick Cheney and David S. Addington, Mr. Cheney’s counsel, to endorse policies that they saw as effective in safeguarding Americans, even though the practices brought the condemnation of other governments, human rights groups and Democrats in Congress. Critics say Mr. Gonzales turned his agency into an arm of the Bush White House, undermining the department’s independence.

The interrogation opinions were signed by Steven G. Bradbury, who since 2005 has headed the elite Office of Legal Counsel at the Justice Department. He has become a frequent public defender of the National Security Agency’s domestic surveillance program and detention policies at Congressional hearings and press briefings, a role that some legal scholars say is at odds with the office’s tradition of avoiding political advocacy.

Mr. Bradbury defended the work of his office as the government’s most authoritative interpreter of the law. “In my experience, the White House has not told me how an opinion should come out,” he said in an interview. “The White House has accepted and respected our opinions, even when they didn’t like the advice being given.”

The debate over how terrorism suspects should be held and questioned began shortly after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, when the Bush administration adopted secret detention and coercive interrogation, both practices the United States had previously denounced when used by other countries. It adopted the new measures without public debate or Congressional vote, choosing to rely instead on the confidential legal advice of a handful of appointees.

The policies set off bruising internal battles, pitting administration moderates against hard-liners, military lawyers against Pentagon chiefs and, most surprising, a handful of conservative lawyers at the Justice Department against the White House in the stunning mutiny of 2004. But under Mr. Gonzales and Mr. Bradbury, the Justice Department was wrenched back into line with the White House.

After the Supreme Court ruled in 2006 that the Geneva Conventions applied to prisoners who belonged to Al Qaeda, President Bush for the first time acknowledged the C.I.A.’s secret jails and ordered their inmates moved to Guantánamo Bay, Cuba. The C.I.A. halted its use of waterboarding, or pouring water over a bound prisoner’s cloth-covered face to induce fear of suffocation.

But in July, after a monthlong debate inside the administration, President Bush signed a new executive order authorizing the use of what the administration calls “enhanced” interrogation techniques — the details remain secret — and officials say the C.I.A. again is holding prisoners in “black sites” overseas. The executive order was reviewed and approved by Mr. Bradbury and the Office of Legal Counsel.

Douglas W. Kmiec, who headed that office under President Ronald Reagan and the first President George Bush and wrote a book about it, said he believed the intense pressures of the campaign against terrorism have warped the office’s proper role.

“The office was designed to insulate against any need to be an advocate,” said Mr. Kmiec, now a conservative scholar at Pepperdine University law school. But at times in recent years, Mr. Kmiec said, the office, headed by William H. Rehnquist and Antonin Scalia before they served on the Supreme Court, “lost its ability to say no.”

“The approach changed dramatically with opinions on the war on terror,” Mr. Kmiec said. “The office became an advocate for the president’s policies.”

From the secret sites in Afghanistan, Thailand and Eastern Europe where C.I.A. teams held Qaeda terrorists, questions for the lawyers at C.I.A. headquarters arrived daily. Nervous interrogators wanted to know: Are we breaking the laws against torture?

The Bush administration had entered uncharted legal territory beginning in 2002, holding prisoners outside the scrutiny of the International Red Cross and subjecting them to harrowing pressure tactics. They included slaps to the head; hours held naked in a frigid cell; days and nights without sleep while battered by thundering rock music; long periods manacled in stress positions; or the ultimate, waterboarding.

Never in history had the United States authorized such tactics. While President Bush and C.I.A. officials would later insist that the harsh measures produced crucial intelligence, many veteran interrogators, psychologists and other experts say that less coercive methods are equally or more effective.

With virtually no experience in interrogations, the C.I.A. had constructed its program in a few harried months by consulting Egyptian and Saudi intelligence officials and copying Soviet interrogation methods long used in training American servicemen to withstand capture. The agency officers questioning prisoners constantly sought advice from lawyers thousands of miles away.

“We were getting asked about combinations — ‘Can we do this and this at the same time?’” recalled Paul C. Kelbaugh, a veteran intelligence lawyer who was deputy legal counsel at the C.I.A.’s Counterterrorist Center from 2001 to 2003.

Interrogators were worried that even approved techniques had such a painful, multiplying effect when combined that they might cross the legal line, Mr. Kelbaugh said. He recalled agency officers asking: “These approved techniques, say, withholding food, and 50-degree temperature — can they be combined?” Or “Do I have to do the less extreme before the more extreme?”

The questions came more frequently, Mr. Kelbaugh said, as word spread about a C.I.A. inspector general inquiry unrelated to the war on terrorism. Some veteran C.I.A. officers came under scrutiny because they were advisers to Peruvian officers who in early 2001 shot down a missionary flight they had mistaken for a drug-running aircraft. The Americans were not charged with crimes, but they endured three years of investigation, saw their careers derailed and ran up big legal bills.

That experience shook the Qaeda interrogation team, Mr. Kelbaugh said. “You think you’re making a difference and maybe saving 3,000 American lives from the next attack. And someone tells you, ‘Well, that guidance was a little vague, and the inspector general wants to talk to you,’” he recalled. “We couldn’t tell them, ‘Do the best you can,’ because the people who did the best they could in Peru were looking at a grand jury.”

Mr. Kelbaugh said the questions were sometimes close calls that required consultation with the Justice Department. But in August 2002, the department provided a sweeping legal justification for even the harshest tactics.

That opinion, which would become infamous as “the torture memo” after it was leaked, was written largely by John Yoo, a young Berkeley law professor serving in the Office of Legal Counsel. His broad views of presidential power were shared by Mr. Addington, the vice president’s adviser. Their close alliance provoked John Ashcroft, then the attorney general, to refer privately to Mr. Yoo as Dr. Yes for his seeming eagerness to give the White House whatever legal justifications it desired, a Justice Department official recalled.

Mr. Yoo’s memorandum said no interrogation practices were illegal unless they produced pain equivalent to organ failure or “even death.” A second memo produced at the same time spelled out the approved practices and how often or how long they could be used.

Despite that guidance, in March 2003, when the C.I.A. caught Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, the chief planner of the Sept. 11 attacks, interrogators were again haunted by uncertainty. Former intelligence officials, for the first time, disclosed that a variety of tough interrogation tactics were used about 100 times over two weeks on Mr. Mohammed. Agency officials then ordered a halt, fearing the combined assault might have amounted to illegal torture. A C.I.A. spokesman, George Little, declined to discuss the handling of Mr. Mohammed. Mr. Little said the program “has been conducted lawfully, with great care and close review” and “has helped our country disrupt terrorist plots and save innocent lives.”

“The agency has always sought a clear legal framework, conducting the program in strict accord with U.S. law, and protecting the officers who go face-to-face with ruthless terrorists,” Mr. Little added.

Some intelligence officers say that many of Mr. Mohammed’s statements proved exaggerated or false. One problem, a former senior agency official said, was that the C.I.A.’s initial interrogators were not experts on Mr. Mohammed’s background or Al Qaeda, and it took about a month to get such an expert to the secret prison. The former official said many C.I.A. professionals now believe patient, repeated questioning by well-informed experts is more effective than harsh physical pressure.

Other intelligence officers, including Mr. Kelbaugh, insist that the harsh treatment produced invaluable insights into Al Qaeda’s structure and plans.

“We leaned in pretty hard on K.S.M.,” Mr. Kelbaugh said, referring to Mr. Mohammed. “We were getting good information, and then they were told: ‘Slow it down. It may not be correct. Wait for some legal clarification.’”

The doubts at the C.I.A. proved prophetic. In late 2003, after Mr. Yoo left the Justice Department, the new head of the Office of Legal Counsel, Jack Goldsmith, began reviewing his work, which he found deeply flawed. Mr. Goldsmith infuriated White House officials, first by rejecting part of the National Security Agency’s surveillance program, prompting the threat of mass resignations by top Justice Department officials, including Mr. Ashcroft and Mr. Comey, and a showdown at the attorney general’s hospital bedside.

Then, in June 2004, Mr. Goldsmith formally withdrew the August 2002 Yoo memorandum on interrogation, which he found overreaching and poorly reasoned. Mr. Goldsmith left the Justice Department soon afterward. He first spoke at length about his dissenting views to The New York Times last month, and testified before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Tuesday.

Six months later, the Justice Department quietly posted on its Web site a new legal opinion that appeared to end any flirtation with torture, starting with its clarionlike opening: “Torture is abhorrent both to American law and values and to international norms.”

A single footnote — added to reassure the C.I.A. — suggested that the Justice Department was not declaring the agency’s previous actions illegal. But the opinion was unmistakably a retreat. Some White House officials had opposed publicizing the document, but acquiesced to Justice Department officials who argued that doing so would help clear the way for Mr. Gonzales’s confirmation as attorney general.

If President Bush wanted to make sure the Justice Department did not rebel again, Mr. Gonzales was the ideal choice. As White House counsel, he had been a fierce protector of the president’s prerogatives. Deeply loyal to Mr. Bush for championing his career from their days in Texas, Mr. Gonzales would sometimes tell colleagues that he had just one regret about becoming attorney general: He did not see nearly as much of the president as he had in his previous post.

Among his first tasks at the Justice Department was to find a trusted chief for the Office of Legal Counsel. First he informed Daniel Levin, the acting head who had backed Mr. Goldsmith’s dissents and signed the new opinion renouncing torture, that he would not get the job. He encouraged Mr. Levin to take a position at the National Security Council, in effect sidelining him.

Mr. Bradbury soon emerged as the presumed favorite. But White House officials, still smarting from Mr. Goldsmith’s rebuffs, chose to delay his nomination. Harriet E. Miers, the new White House counsel, “decided to watch Bradbury for a month or two. He was sort of on trial,” one Justice Department official recalled.

Mr. Bradbury’s biography had a Horatio Alger element that appealed to a succession of bosses, including Justice Clarence Thomas of the Supreme Court and Mr. Gonzales, the son of poor immigrants. Mr. Bradbury’s father had died when he was an infant, and his mother took in laundry to support her children. The first in his family to go to college, he attended Stanford and the University of Michigan Law School. He joined the law firm of Kirkland & Ellis, where he came under the tutelage of Kenneth W. Starr, the Whitewater independent prosecutor.

Mr. Bradbury belonged to the same circle as his predecessors: young, conservative lawyers with sterling credentials, often with clerkships for prominent conservative judges and ties to the Federalist Society, a powerhouse of the legal right. Mr. Yoo, in fact, had proposed his old friend Mr. Goldsmith for the Office of Legal Counsel job; Mr. Goldsmith had hired Mr. Bradbury as his top deputy.

“We all grew up together,” said Viet D. Dinh, an assistant attorney general from 2001 to 2003 and very much a member of the club. “You start with a small universe of Supreme Court clerks, and you narrow it down from there.”

But what might have been subtle differences in quieter times now cleaved them into warring camps.

Justice Department colleagues say Mr. Gonzales was soon meeting frequently with Mr. Bradbury on national security issues, a White House priority. Admirers describe Mr. Bradbury as low-key but highly skilled, a conciliator who brought from 10 years of corporate practice a more pragmatic approach to the job than Mr. Yoo and Mr. Goldsmith, both from the academic world.

“As a practicing lawyer, you know how to address real problems,” said Noel J. Francisco, who worked at the Justice Department from 2003 to 2005. “At O.L.C., you’re not writing law review articles and you’re not theorizing. You’re giving a client practical advice on a real problem.”

As he had at the White House, Mr. Gonzales usually said little in meetings with other officials, often deferring to the hard-driving Mr. Addington. Mr. Bradbury also often appeared in accord with the vice president’s lawyer.

Mr. Bradbury appeared to be “fundamentally sympathetic to what the White House and the C.I.A. wanted to do,” recalled Philip Zelikow, a former top State Department official. At interagency meetings on detention and interrogation, Mr. Addington was at times “vituperative,” said Mr. Zelikow, but Mr. Bradbury, while taking similar positions, was “professional and collegial.”

While waiting to learn whether he would be nominated to head the Office of Legal Counsel, Mr. Bradbury was in an awkward position, knowing that a decision contrary to White House wishes could kill his chances.

Charles J. Cooper, who headed the Office of Legal Counsel under President Reagan, said he was “very troubled” at the notion of a probationary period.

“If the purpose of the delay was a tryout, I think they should have avoided it,” Mr. Cooper said. “You’re implying that the acting official is molding his or her legal analysis to win the job.”

Mr. Bradbury said he made no such concessions. “No one ever suggested to me that my nomination depended on how I ruled on any opinion,” he said. “Every opinion I’ve signed at the Office of Legal Counsel represents my best judgment of what the law requires.”

Scott Horton, an attorney affiliated with Human Rights First who has closely followed the interrogation debate, said any official offering legal advice on the campaign against terror was on treacherous ground.

“For government lawyers, the national security issues they were deciding were like working with nuclear waste — extremely hazardous to their health,” Mr. Horton said.

“If you give the administration what it wants, you’ll lose credibility in the academic community,” he said. “But if you hold back, you’ll be vilified by conservatives and the administration.”

In any case, the White House grew comfortable with Mr. Bradbury’s approach. He helped block the appointment of a liberal Ivy League law professor to a career post in the Office of Legal Counsel. And he signed the opinion approving combined interrogation techniques.

Mr. Comey strongly objected and told associates that he advised Mr. Gonzales not to endorse the opinion. But the attorney general made clear that the White House was adamant about it, and that he would do nothing to resist.

Under Mr. Ashcroft, Mr. Comey’s opposition might have killed the opinion. An imposing former prosecutor and self-described conservative who stands 6-foot-8, he was the rare administration official who was willing to confront Mr. Addington. At one testy 2004 White House meeting, when Mr. Comey stated that “no lawyer” would endorse Mr. Yoo’s justification for the N.S.A. program, Mr. Addington demurred, saying he was a lawyer and found it convincing. Mr. Comey shot back: “No good lawyer,” according to someone present.

But under Mr. Gonzales, and after the departure of Mr. Goldsmith and other allies, the deputy attorney general found himself isolated. His troublemaking on N.S.A. and on interrogation, and in appointing his friend Patrick J. Fitzgerald as special prosecutor in the C.I.A. leak case, which would lead to the perjury conviction of I. Lewis Libby, Mr. Cheney’s chief of staff, had irreparably offended the White House.

“On national security matters generally, there was a sense that Comey was a wimp and that Comey was disloyal,” said one Justice Department official who heard the White House talk, expressed with particular force by Mr. Addington.

Mr. Comey provided some hints of his thinking about interrogation and related issues in a speech that spring. Speaking at the N.S.A.’s Fort Meade campus on Law Day — a noteworthy setting for the man who had helped lead the dissent a year earlier that forced some changes in the N.S.A. program — Mr. Comey spoke of the “agonizing collisions” of the law and the desire to protect Americans.

“We are likely to hear the words: ‘If we don’t do this, people will die,’” Mr. Comey said. But he argued that government lawyers must uphold the principles of their great institutions.

“It takes far more than a sharp legal mind to say ‘no’ when it matters most,” he said. “It takes moral character. It takes an understanding that in the long run, intelligence under law is the only sustainable intelligence in this country.”

Mr. Gonzales’s aides were happy to see Mr. Comey depart in the summer of 2005. That June, President Bush nominated Mr. Bradbury to head the Office of Legal Counsel, which some colleagues viewed as a sign that he had passed a loyalty test.

Soon Mr. Bradbury applied his practical approach to a new challenge to the C.I.A.’s methods.

The administration had always asserted that the C.I.A.’s pressure tactics did not amount to torture, which is banned by federal law and international treaty. But officials had privately decided the agency did not have to comply with another provision in the Convention Against Torture — the prohibition on “cruel, inhuman, or degrading” treatment.

Now that loophole was about to be closed. First Senator Richard J. Durbin, Democrat of Illinois, and then Senator John McCain, the Arizona Republican who had been tortured as a prisoner in North Vietnam, proposed legislation to ban such treatment.

At the administration’s request, Mr. Bradbury assessed whether the proposed legislation would outlaw any C.I.A. methods, a legal question that had never before been answered by the Justice Department.

At least a few administration officials argued that no reasonable interpretation of “cruel, inhuman or degrading” would permit the most extreme C.I.A. methods, like waterboarding. Mr. Bradbury was placed in a tough spot, said Mr. Zelikow, the State Department counselor, who was working at the time to rein in interrogation policy.

“If Justice says some practices are in violation of the C.I.D. standard,” Mr. Zelikow said, referring to cruel, inhuman or degrading, “then they are now saying that officials broke current law.”

In the end, Mr. Bradbury’s opinion delivered what the White House wanted: a statement that the standard imposed by Mr. McCain’s Detainee Treatment Act would not force any change in the C.I.A.’s practices, according to officials familiar with the memo.

Relying on a Supreme Court finding that only conduct that “shocks the conscience” was unconstitutional, the opinion found that in some circumstances not even waterboarding was necessarily cruel, inhuman or degrading, if, for example, a suspect was believed to possess crucial intelligence about a planned terrorist attack, the officials familiar with the legal finding said.

In a frequent practice, Mr. Bush attached a statement to the new law when he signed it, declaring his authority to set aside the restrictions if they interfered with his constitutional powers. At the same time, though, the administration responded to pressure from Mr. McCain and other lawmakers by reviewing interrogation policy and giving up several C.I.A. techniques.

Since late 2005, Mr. Bradbury has become a linchpin of the administration’s defense of counterterrorism programs, helping to negotiate the Military Commissions Act last year and frequently testifying about the N.S.A. surveillance program. Once he answered questions about administration detention policies for an “Ask the White House” feature on a Web site.

Mr. Kmiec, the former Office of Legal Counsel head now at Pepperdine, called Mr. Bradbury’s public activities a departure for an office that traditionally has shunned any advocacy role.

A senior administration official called Mr. Bradbury’s active role in shaping legislation and speaking to Congress and the press “entirely appropriate” and consistent with past practice. The official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, said Mr. Bradbury “has played a critical role in achieving greater transparency” on the legal basis for detention and surveillance programs.

Though President Bush repeatedly nominated Mr. Bradbury as the Office of Legal Counsel’s assistant attorney general, Democratic senators have blocked the nomination. Senator Durbin said the Justice Department would not turn over copies of his opinions or other evidence of Mr. Bradbury’s role in interrogation policy.

“There are fundamental questions about whether Mr. Bradbury approved interrogation methods that are clearly unacceptable,” Mr. Durbin said.

John D. Hutson, who served as the Navy’s top lawyer from 1997 to 2000, said he believed that the existence of legal opinions justifying abusive treatment is pernicious, potentially blurring the rules for Americans handling prisoners.

“I know from the military that if you tell someone they can do a little of this for the country’s good, some people will do a lot of it for the country’s better,” Mr. Hutson said. Like other military lawyers, he also fears that official American acceptance of such treatment could endanger Americans in the future.

“The problem is, once you’ve got a legal opinion that says such a technique is O.K., what happens when one of our people is captured and they do it to him? How do we protest then?” he asked.

Report: LA Deputies Held Arrest Contests

Associated Press
Thursday October 04, 2007

LOS ANGELES -- Sheriff's deputies have been competing in organized contests to see who could make the most arrests, who could impound the most cars and who could question the most gang members.

The contests were meant to boost morale and motivate deputies, but some observers are crying foul, the Los Angeles Times reported Thursday.

One of the competitions, outlined in an internal Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department e-mail, was "Operation Any Booking." The object of the contest was to see who could arrest the most people in a 24-hour period.

"It's just a friendly competition to have a little fun out here," said Lt. James Tatreau, who helped organize the events. "It's a morale booster."

Tatreau said that when he joined a station in Lakewood, he noticed some patrol deputies made 15 to 20 arrests a month, while others made seven arrests in an entire year.

The prize for winning was "bragging rights," Tatreau said.

Several police observers were not impressed.

Hubert Williams, president of the Washington, D.C.-based Police Foundation, said the competitions were "highly problematic and inappropriate."

"The arrest is one of the most potent tools in the possession of law enforcement and should be used with great thought," Williams said. "It's not a competition or a game."

Los Angeles County Public Defender Michael P. Judge, wondered if the games could prompt deputies to make illegitimate arrests to boost numbers.

"Certainly, it calls into question whether there was a legitimate reason to book any of the people who were booked during the time of the competition," Judge said.

According to a Times review of records, Operation Any Booking did not result in an increase in arrests on the day of the contest.

But the impound competition may have increased the number of vehicles seized, with records showing a spike in vehicle seizures the day of the contest.

Sheriff Lee Baca said the competitions were a well-meaning but poorly conceived idea that promoted "the wrong values."

"We're not into numbers, we're into quality," Baca said. "I don't think it will occur again."

Al-Qaeda: Bin Laden alive and well

Press TV
Thursday October 04, 2007

A United States based monitoring group has released an audio clip in which Al-Qaeda's chief insists that Osama Bin Laden is alive and well.

In this audio message, Mustafa Abu al-Yazid urges Muslims around the world to fight for Afghanistan independence.

The 28-minute audio, is accompanied by a video showing still images of him. Yazid also claims that despite the death of top Taliban military commander Mullah Dadullah in May, insurgents are scoring victories in the battlefield.

In the speech titled "the truth of belief", Yazid calls on Muslims to support Dadullah's successor, Mullah Mansour.

He also says that Bin Laden, the Al-Qaeda terror network's chief, supervises all activities, reiterating that he is alive and well.

Dead in the Water – Law of the Sea Treaty Resurfaces

Dana Gabriel
Wednesday, October 3, 2007

The Law of the Sea Treaty (LOST) would essentially give United Nations control of what happens on, over, and under the world's oceans. This would include seven-tenths of the worlds surface. Former President Ronald Regan was opposed to it, but years later some changes were made and it was signed by then President Bill Clinton. He had hoped that it would be ratified, but because of intense opposition, it never made it to the Senate floor. After several attempts under George W. Bush's presidency, it now appears as if it has the support to go to vote and pass. President Bush, the State Department, and the Department of Defense are now all pushing for its ratification. Proponents of LOST insist that it is necessary in order to protect U.S. interests in the world's oceans. The truth is that the U.S. already honors many of its provisions and ratifying the treaty would seriously encroach on American sovereignty and give the UN more power and authority over our own affairs.

Currently, 155 nations have ratified LOST with the U.S. being the only one out of the major powers not to do so. LOST will establish a comprehensive set of rules and regulations governing the oceans of the world. The International Seabed Authority will have the power to regulate ocean research and exploration, which may include setting quotas for oil. This could make any new oil and gas developments more difficult. There are fears by some that the Seabed Authority could essentially become the ocean's police force, being only accountable to the UN. The decision to grant or withhold mining permits will be theirs to make. It will also be able to compete on its own for even higher profits, talk about a conflict of interest. Republican presidential candidate Ron Paul said, “The Law of the Sea treaty also would give UN power to tax American citizens and businesses, which has been a long-time dream of the anti-sovereignty globalists. LOST also would establish an international court system to enforce its provisions and rulings. Imagine not being able to do business internationally without the approval of the United Nations.” This treaty was clearly written by those who wish to have a world government. Global taxes, international courts-we are well on are way to this becoming a reality.

Over the years there have been attempts to alter certain provisions of LOST in an effort to get the U.S. to sign on, as it is doomed to failure without American ratification. Although there have been some changes, it still contains many of its original flaws. The Taxing of U.S. and other corporations which mine the ocean floors would constitute the first source of independent revenue for the UN. This is the model for a global taxation system, and the transfer of wealth and technology to the third world. It doesn't matter if they call it permits, fees, or royalties. This will be a global taxation plan and another step towards world government.

LOST may have jurisdiction over matters on land and air because of the potential affects it could have on the oceans of the world. It sets up a system of tribunals and panels to resolve disputes. This puts U.S. interests at the mercy of international courts, which tend to be anti-American. The best example is the WTO tribunals, who are often hostile to U.S. interests. It could lead to the U.S. being sued because of greenhouse gas emissions that pollute the oceans. LOST could also override domestic laws and the Supreme Court, and might be used as a back-door for a global warming or other environmental taxation. Under the guise of protecting the environment, the UN is gaining more control over individuals and nation states alike.

LOST will take away America's rights to free movement on the high seas, with the UN telling us what we can and cannot do. This represents a threat to our sovereignty and independence. This could limit U.S. military and intelligence operations at sea, and severely handicap America's ability to pursue potential terrorists or other enemies. LOST places limits on the ocean area that countries may claim, and gives 70% of the earths surface to the UN. It could also undermine American historic claims to the Arctic. None of this is in America's best interest. One of the last things we want to do is surrender more power and control over to UN bureaucracy.

The Law of the Sea Treaty is currently under review at the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and could be brought to the floor for a vote in the next month. We need to ask ourselves, “Do we really want to turn over control of the ocean's oil, gas, and minerals to the UN?” This is the same UN that undermines national sovereignty and wishes to control and micromanage all aspects of our lives. People also need to understand that when it starts collecting a global tax, no matter what they choose to call it, there can be little doubt that this is world government. It is not surprising that the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), the same traitors pushing for a North American Union, support the treaty. LOST is yet another threat to our sovereignty, security, and political independence.